La Nina conditions prevailed throughout May 2008, but the event gradually weakened from its peak in February. The recent weeks have seen a more rapid decay, indicating a possible conclusion to the event. Near-neutral conditions are considered the most likely outcome for the middle part of the year and shortly thereafter. For the second half of the year, the chance of an El Nino developing is small, but it cannot be ruled out. In such circumstances, near-neutral conditions should be considered the most likely outcome for the second half of 2008.  (June 25)

Editor Kong Yan